Gunnar Henderson, 2023 Fantasy Outlook

I mentioned one thing in my Corbin Carroll fantasy the opposite day, that folks may take the incorrect approach, so to make clear. I believe Gunnar Henderson will be higher than Bobby Witt Jr., particularly in actual baseball. I believe Corbin Carroll will be wonderful, a high 25 total sort bat. After I mentioned I believed Julio Rodriguez was higher than Carroll, and Witt Jr. was higher than Gunnar, I meant their rookie 2022 seasons vs. these rookies’ 2023 seasons. Can’t count on insane years like what Julio and Bobby did yearly. It simply doesn’t occur. It doesn’t imply Gunnar Henderson or Carroll can’t be nice. Gunnar seemingly has higher contact than Witt Jr., which can result in a greater common. He simply doesn’t have the velocity as BWJ, so his fantasy worth isn’t going to be as pronounced. Fahn-tah-see val-ewe, that’s how fantasy worth is pronounced. If I’m being sincere, I believe we’ve been a bit spoiled lately with rookies. Haven’t had an actual stinker since Michael Fulmer in 2016. Ha, Fulmer out right here taking strays in his Google alerts for no cause. In 2017, Aaron Decide hit 52 HRs and .284 as a rookie and Cody Belinger went 39/10, and since then we’ve had some unbelievable rookie years (I’m ignoring 2020, however Kyle Lewis wasn’t unhealthy in a goofy 12 months). All of that’s completely irrelevant for immediately, but additionally kinda spoiling us, even when it’s subconsciously. I’m merely setting your expectations. Gunnar Henderson goes to rosterable and nice, however simply attempt to be lifelike. The highest of the rookie class will simply be a bit decrease than final 12 months’s high of the category. So, what can we count on from Gunnar Henderson for 2023 fantasy baseball?

In contrast to most posts the place the participant is understood to us, I like to begin my fantasy baseball rookies with movies of them doing what they do and Gunnar Henderson has some actual purdy highlights:

Okay, daddy likes, can I see extra ding-dong?

The facility is simple. It’s your normal lefty salami launch angle. That 2nd one was a 428-foot blast to the centerfield bleachers at Fenway. Only a 111.1 MPH blast off the bat to No Man’s Land. The first homer was his 1st profession hit, and went 429 toes with a 24-degree Launch Angle. I point out the Launch Angle, as a result of he had a 2.0 for his Launch Angle in his 116 main league at-bats with a 4/1/.259 statline, which isn’t related. It’s a small pattern measurement. He had a 7.9 diploma Launch Angle within the minors; 10.3 on 95{5b2dc6f8a5d8f302637cea8d989e4faa5452974c3cf6e3bce650e42189e55f1a} of them; 26.7{5b2dc6f8a5d8f302637cea8d989e4faa5452974c3cf6e3bce650e42189e55f1a} had been 10-30 levels. He’s not tremendous steep, however that’s why he murders excessive heaters. Spray chart reveals balls to all subject, and the one actual “bye-bye fall asleep” pitches that get him are those down and away, however nobody hits these effectively.

Gunnar Henderson goes to hit for energy and common. Certain, his strikeouts peaked within the minors to over 30{5b2dc6f8a5d8f302637cea8d989e4faa5452974c3cf6e3bce650e42189e55f1a} however he was 20 years outdated, I’m not apprehensive. Perhaps he has a 24-26{5b2dc6f8a5d8f302637cea8d989e4faa5452974c3cf6e3bce650e42189e55f1a} strikeout charge, however he’s going to pound balls with a flat swing (that you simply’re admittedly not seeing as a lot in these video clips). The upside right here is 30/.280, the draw back is 20/.250. I hate what they did to the park in Balty-more, however he’ll be okay, as the house run to the deepest a part of Fenway reveals. Okay, about that velocity:

That was Gunnar Henderson’s one caught stealing within the majors, however, I imply, is that by three toes or what? By Israel Pineda who I discovered this scouting report on “doesn’t have an awesome arm.” Mm-kay. Um, dot dot dot, kay. Steals are so tough translating for a man like Gunnar Henderson, who isn’t a burner. He wants to choose his spots, and if he doesn’t know pitchers, or catchers can he decide his spots? Will the restricted pickoff strikes assist? He did steal 22 baggage within the higher minors and people guys can arm. Not cannon arms, however can arm. I believe Gunnar Henderson’s steals will be wherever from 5 to twenty. Each numbers are laughable potentialities, however the precise quantity shall be in there. For 2023, I’ll give Gunnar Henderson projections of 68/25/81/.269/12 in 537 ABs with an opportunity for extra. Additionally, a degree in his favor: They’ll transfer him across the infield, so he’ll seemingly have like 2B, SS & 3B eligibility. Although, clearly personnel might change in the course of the offseason.