Hunter Greene, 2023 Fantasy Baseball Sleeper

Sitting lifeless purple (pardon the pun), and you may’t hit Hunter Greene. Permit me to show:

That’s simply foolish. Inform the hitter the ball goes to be proper down the pipe, and it’s a JCVD to the windpipe. His fastball velocity averaged 99 MPH. To be a fly on the wall of the hospital room the place Babe Ruth laid for the final time when a time traveler walked in to inform him, “A pitcher will someday common 99 MPH,” after which Babe closed his eyes for the final time, not wanting any a part of that. Barely off subject for a short second: It’s why it’s so humorous when individuals attempt to examine completely different eras in baseball. Are you able to think about Babe Ruth dealing with a 99-MPH hurler each day trip? Placing apart his offseason regiment was chugging sodas with Fatty Arbuckle. 99 miles per hour on common?! That was greatest within the majors for a starter with no less than 120 innings and the highest ten are all guys you need: Strider, Sandy, Gerrit, Shohei, Castillo, Stop, McClanahanananananananan, Burnes, and Woodruff, in that order, with Woodruff at 96.2 MPH on common. Solely two guys above 98 MPH are Spencer Strider and Hunter Greene. Velocity isn’t all the things, naturally. Or unnaturally should you’re one in all these guys’ shoulders. Nathan Eovaldi and his sizzling butter MPH and biscuit of rubbish ERA are extra the exception than the rule. The highest 30 for fastball velocity are roughly 95% implausible with the occasional Mitch Keller. So, what can we count on from Hunter Greene for 2023 fantasy baseball and what makes him a sleeper?

Psyche! Earlier than we get into the Hunter Greene sleeper publish, simply wished to announce that I’ve begun to roll out my 2023 fantasy baseball rankings on our Patreon. Fortunate you (should you pay the $10/month). Additionally, Rudy’s begun to roll out his 2023 fantasy baseball projections. It’s model 1.0 and there’s normally about 4500 variations however simply wished to let you realize. Anyway II, the Hunter Greene sleeper:

It’s actually in regards to the slider. Sure, I spent the primary ‘graph telling you ways exhausting Hunter Greene threw his fastball to goose ya up slightly. His slider is the bye-bye pitch. He throws it from 87-90 MPH (minVel 80.9 MPH, maxVel 93.4 MPH), and the batting common in opposition to was .170. It brutalizes lefties too, particularly spectacular coming from a righty. The slider produced a 38% Whiff% and .261 wOBA. His batting common in opposition to lefties with all pitches was .205. That sounded nice to me for a righty, so I looked for all starters vs. lefties, and it’s all aces once more who’ve a .205 BAA vs. lefties or higher. Marvel if that modifications with the shift ending. Although, I wouldn’t be shocked if the Reds’ supervisor Dumb Bell is informed that the shift ended, and Dumb says, “What shift?” The defensive alignment factor, Skip, you don’t have to fret about it. “Protection? Are we getting Eugenio again so I can put him again at shortstop?” Overlook it, Skip.

The opposite factor that may fear individuals about Hunter Greene is his command. Final yr, he had a 3.4 BB/9. Along with his 11.8 Ok/9, that can nonetheless play, however I’m right here to let you know his command can and can get higher. He was commonly a low-3 BB/9 man within the minors, and even final yr within the majors his stroll price went from 4 BB/9 within the 1st half to 2 within the 2nd half. Granted, it was 90 1/3 IP vs. 35 1/3 IP, however nonetheless that’s an enormous enchancment. Perhaps Greene realized what we noticed in that opening clip. He can throw bee-bees by hitters so why throw any BBs. I think about a younger pitcher is nervous early on, or simply nervous, however then they understand they’ll strike out main league hitters, so why play video games with attempting to dot corners? Within the 1st half, he had 5 video games the place he threw 4 or extra walks. He had zero such video games within the 2nd half. Simply bear down and ruffle some feathers, to combine animal metaphors. Even his strikeout price went up within the 2nd half after I assume he realized his stuff is so good he doesn’t have to widdle-waddle, he can simply wowie-wee-wow along with his Ok/9 going as much as 13 within the 2nd half. Truthfully, I don’t need to get too Attractive on Important, but when Hunter Greene isn’t strolling individuals, he may be a high ten starter this yr.

Hunter Greene’s different bugaboo was his propensity to permit a house run or three. To not whisper in your ear and get you too loopy, however guess what else he fastened within the 2nd half? He allowed 23 homers within the 1st half. Woof, I hear that. Guess what number of he gave up within the 2nd half. C’mon, you realize it’s a smaller quantity. Guess a quantity decrease than 23. Unsuitable! He gave up one homer within the 2nd half. One house run in the complete 2nd half! I simply kissed his participant web page. Okay, I believe I’ve made a convincing sufficient case right here why Hunter Greene is a 2023 fantasy baseball sleeper. For 2023, I’ll give Hunter Greene projections 10-7/3.72/1.16/209 in 164 IP with an opportunity for far more.